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    Latent-space variational data assimilation in two-dimensional turbulence

    Andrew Cleary*

    Qi Wang

    Tamer A. Zaki†

    • *Contact author: acleary7@jhu.edu
    • †Contact author: t.zaki@jhu.edu

    Phys. Rev. Fluids 11, 104903 – Published 14 October, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/slk7-7l5v

    Abstract

    Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatiotemporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the initial turbulent field is encoded in the available measurements. Adjoint-variational DA minimizes the discrepancy between the true and estimated measurements by optimizing the initial velocity or vorticity field (the “state space”). Here, we propose to instead optimize in a lower-dimensional latent space which is learned by implicit rank-minimizing autoencoders. Assimilating in latent space, rather than state space, redefines the observability of the measurements and identifies the physically meaningful perturbation directions which matter most for accurate prediction of the flow evolution. When observing coarse-grained measurements of two-dimensional Kolmogorov flow at moderate Reynolds numbers, the proposed latent-space DA approach estimates the full turbulent state with a relative error improvement of 2 orders of magnitude over the standard state-space DA approach. The small scales of the estimated turbulent field are predicted more faithfully with latent-space DA, greatly reducing erroneous small-scale velocities typically introduced by state-space DA. Furthermore, latent-space DA is demonstrated to be robust to noisy measurements over the range of Reynolds numbers considered. These findings demonstrate that the observability of the system from available data can be greatly improved when turbulent measurements are assimilated in the right space, or coordinates.

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