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Parrondo's paradox in tumor ecosystems: Adaptive therapy strategies to delay the development of drug resistance

De-Ming Liu*, Yi-Yang Liu*, Zhi-Xi Wu†, and Jian-Yue Guan

  • Lanzhou Center for Theoretical Physics, Key Laboratory of Theoretical Physics of Gansu Province, Key Laboratory of Quantum Theory and Applications of MoE, and Institute of Computational Physics and Complex Systems, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China

  • *These authors contributed equally to this work.
  • †Contact author: wuzhx@lzu.edu.cn

Phys. Rev. E 112, 024404 – Published 6 August, 2025

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/xjh4-mfvx

Abstract

Maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and low-dose metronomic (LDM) schedules are widely used clinical strategies in cancer chemotherapy despite the fact that both approaches have inherent limitations. MTD often leads to drug resistance in tumors, whereas LDM usually results in the predominance of drug-sensitive or drug-resistant cancer cells, depending on the specific dose applied. To circumvent these unfavorable outcomes, we propose in this work a promising adaptive therapy strategy that alternates MTD and LDM schemes across the treatment cycles. By studying a three-component tumor system with replicator equations, we find that alternate administration of MTD and LDM at different lengths of the treatment cycle can significantly delay the development of drug-resistant phenotypes compared to when the two schemes are operated separately. This outcome recapitulates the weak form of the Parrondo's paradox, where appropriate combinations of two individually suboptimal strategies can produce an even more superior outcome (a more favorable therapeutic effect in our case). We also validate the feasibility of the proposed adaptive therapy strategy in spatially distributed tumor ecosystems by implementing agent-based simulations. Our findings offer potential clues to the challenges in state-of-the-art adaptive therapy methods, which often require precise regulation of drug dose and timing based on the proportions of drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cancer cells within a tumor.

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

Research News

Game-Theory Paradox Inspires Cancer Therapy

Published 6 August, 2025

Simulations suggest that the combination of two cancer-therapy strategies, which individually deliver poor outcomes, might produce optimal results.

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