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Seismic entropic analysis based on magnitudes and time intervals

Eugenio E. Vogel1,2,*, D. Pastén3,†, and G. Saravia4

  • *Contact author: eugenio.vogel@ufrontera.cl
  • †Contact author: denissepasten@uchile.cl

Phys. Rev. E 114, 054101 – Published 2 November, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/xj32-b6tj

Abstract

Usually, seismic analyses are based on magnitudes which are obtained from models based on the energy released by each earthquake. The present approach supplements this description by including the intervals between consecutive events. This is justified by arguments coming from fundamental physics: energy and time are canonical variables, so they offer complementary and equally acceptable descriptions of the same phenomenon. We then apply both schemes to four seismic zones along the coast of the Pacific Ocean (part of the “circle of fire”) surrounding the following major earthquakes: Mw8.2 in Alaska (2021), Mw7.1 in California (2019), Mw8.2 in Iquique (2014), and Mw8.8 in Maule (2010). Following a basic statistical characterization, we applied mutability and diversity analyses—two information theory techniques related to Shannon entropy—to the magnitude and interval sequences. The analysis of the interval sequences provides an accurate description of the seismic activity. Magnitude and intervals present opposite variations in the dynamical analyses, thus offering complementary descriptions of the same phenomenon. However, the results for intervals render a more direct interpretation of the seismic sequence.

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