Export citation

Export citation

Choose format for download:

Download Citation

    Optimal control and evolutionary behavior in a two-layer epidemic model with travel restriction and social distancing

    M. A. H. Sajib*

    Md. Rajib Arefin†

    Md. Aslam Hossain

    Jun Tanimoto‡

    • Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan

    • *Contact author: mahsajib.math@gmail.com
    • †Contact author: arefin.math@du.ac.bd
    • ‡Also at Faculty of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan.

    Phys. Rev. E 113, 044307 – Published 16 April, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/wryv-51zm

    Abstract

    Large-scale outbreaks of infectious diseases, often spread through person-to-person contact, have historically caused significant morbidity and mortality. In this study, we develop a two-layer SIR (Susceptible–Infected–Recovered) model that accounts for individual mobility within and between populations. We explore two complementary approaches to disease mitigation: (i) an optimal control framework and (ii) an evolutionary behavior model. The optimal control approach minimizes the disease burden by coordinating three controls: travel restrictions, social distancing, and antiviral treatment, guided by predefined cost functions. In contrast, the behavioral model captures adaptive individual responses based on infection prevalence, interpopulation infection disparities, and socioeconomic trade-offs, following evolutionary game theory. We find that for high-severity epidemics, combining travel restrictions with social distancing significantly reduces infection peaks and total cases, while these measures become less effective for lower-severity outbreaks. Across all scenarios, a combined control strategy is most effective. However, a key finding is that antiviral treatment alone can rival the effectiveness of combined travel and distancing measures, offering a streamlined alternative when the societal costs of nonpharmaceutical interventions are prohibitive. Furthermore, optimally coordinated policies consistently outperform adaptive behavioral responses, yielding a significant reduction in the population.

    Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

    Authorization Required

    We need you to provide your credentials before accessing this content.

    References (Subscription Required)

    Outline

    Information

    Sign In to Your Journals Account

    Filter

    Filter

    Article Lookup

    Enter a citation