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    Predictions for new physics in the CMB damping tail

    Tristan L. Smith1,* and Nils Schöneberg2,3,†

    • *Contact author: tsmith2@swarthmore.edu
    • †Contact author: nils.science@gmail.com

    Phys. Rev. D 112, 083559 – Published 30 October, 2025

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/sp34-j91r

    Abstract

    Ever since the Planck satellite measured the cosmic microwave background (CMB) down to arcminute angular scales, the mismatch between the CMB-inferred value of the Hubble constant and the value inferred from the distance ladder (i.e., the Hubble tension) has been a growing concern and is currently at the ∼6σ level. There are a handful of proposed mechanisms operating in the early Universe which have shown some promise in resolving the Hubble tension. These mechanisms are expected to leave a measurable impact on the smallest-scale CMB anisotropy, deep in the damping tail. Using current CMB data, baryonic acoustic oscillation data, and the luminosities of type Ia supernovae as a baseline, we compute the predicted small-scale CMB power spectra for a characteristic set of these models. We find that near-future CMB data should be able to distinguish some but not all of the investigated models from the core cosmological model, ΛCDM.

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