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    Bayesian constraints on the neutron star equation of state with a smooth hadron-quark crossover

    Xavier Grundler* and Bao-An Li†

    • *Contact author: xgrundler@leomail.tamuc.edu
    • †Contact author: Bao-An.Li@etamu.edu

    Phys. Rev. D 113, 103012 – Published 8 May, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/pn2b-vls3

    Abstract

    We perform a Bayesian inference of the dense-matter equation of state (EOS) within a unified framework that incorporates hadronic matter, quark matter, and a smooth hadron-quark crossover. The EOS is constrained using physical consistency conditions, gravitational wave data from GW170817, NICER mass-radius measurements, and hypothetical future high-precision radius observations. In contrast to most previous studies that assume a sharp first-order phase transition or fix part of the EOS, we simultaneously infer hadronic, quark, and crossover parameters within a single statistical framework. We find that current observations strongly constrain the density dependence of the nuclear symmetry energy, particularly its slope and curvature, while the highest-density hadronic parameters and quark matter properties remain only weakly constrained. The posterior distributions favor a crossover centered at an energy density ϵ∼(4–6)ϵ0 with a width Γ∼(0.5–1.0)ϵ0. A pronounced peak in the speed of sound emerges naturally near the crossover region, typically around 4ϵ0, and often coincides with the central densities of ∼2M⊙ neutron stars. We further show that the trace anomaly exhibits a remarkably universal behavior across the accepted EOS ensemble and remains largely insensitive to current observational constraints. This indicates that present data primarily probe the low- to intermediate-density EOS, while robust inference of quark matter and genuinely high-density physics will require next-generation precision radius measurements or complementary observables.

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