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    Probability density function for dispersion measure of fast radio burst from extragalactic medium

    Yuchen Zhang1, Yang Liu1, Hongwei Yu1,2,*, and Puxun Wu1,2,†

    • 1Department of Physics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Studies and Synergetic Innovation Center for Quantum Effects and Applications, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, Hunan 410081, China
    • 2Hunan Research Center of the Basic Discipline for Quantum Effects and Quantum Technologies, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, Hunan 410081, China

    • *Contact author: hwyu@hunnu.edu.cn
    • †Contact author: pxwu@hunnu.edu.cn

    Phys. Rev. D 112, 083516 – Published 7 October, 2025

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/n757-1nmx

    Abstract

    Fast radio bursts (FRBs) have emerged as powerful probes in cosmology. An optimized method was recently proposed to extract the cosmic baryon density from localized FRBs by maximizing the joint likelihood function of the extragalactic dispersion measure (DMext). In this paper, we identify a crucial factor that was omitted in the probability density function (PDF) for DMext in that method. Using simulated FRB data, we demonstrate that neglecting this factor leads to a systematic bias in the inferred cosmic baryon density, with deviations exceeding the 1σ confidence level. This highlights the necessity of including the missing factor for reliable cosmological applications of FRBs. Furthermore, applying our corrected PDF to a sample of 88 real localized FRBs, we find that the baryon density inferred with the original PDF is inconsistent with the Planck 2018 CMB results, whereas our corrected PDF yields excellent agreement.

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