Machine learning the tip of the red giant branch
Phys. Rev. D 112, 063051 – Published 25 September, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/n2sv-9mpd
Abstract
A method for investigating the sensitivity of the tip of the red giant branch (TRGB) I band magnitude to stellar input physics is presented. We compute a grid of theoretical stellar models with varying mass, initial helium abundance, and initial metallicity, and train a machine learning emulator to predict as a function of these parameters. First, our emulator can be used to theoretically predict in a given galaxy using Monte Carlo sampling. As an example, we predict in the Large Magellanic Cloud (F20). Second, our emulator enables a direct comparison of theoretical predictions for with empirical calibrations to constrain stellar modeling parameters using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We demonstrate this by using empirical TRGB calibrations to obtain new independent measurements of the metallicity in three galaxies. We find and in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC, F20 and Y19, respectively), in NGC 4258, and in -Centauri. The LMC and NGC 4258 measurements are consistent with other measurements within errors, and the -Centauri measurements are within errors.