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    Identifying Proca-star mergers via consistent ultralight-boson mass estimates across gravitational-wave events

    Ana Lorenzo-Medina1,*, Juan Calderón Bustillo1,2,†, and Samson H. W. Leong2,‡

    • *Contact author: ana.lorenzo.medina@rai.usc.es
    • †Contact author: juan.calderon.bustillo@gmail.com
    • ‡Contact author: samson.leong@link.cuhk.edu.hk

    Phys. Rev. D 112, 124010 – Published 2 December, 2025

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/lqqf-y7l8

    Abstract

    While black hole and neutron star mergers are the most plausible sources of current gravitational-wave observations, mergers of exotic compact objects may mimic these signals. Proca stars—Bose-Einstein condensates of complex vector ultralight bosons—have gained significant attention for their potential to replicate certain gravitational-wave events while yielding consistent estimates of the boson mass μB forming the stars. Using a mixture model within a Bayesian framework, we demonstrate that consistent boson mass estimates across events can be exploited to obtain conclusive evidence for the existence of a number n of Proca-star families characterized by respective boson masses μBi, even if no individual event can be conclusively identified as such. Our method provides posterior distributions for n and μBi. Applying this framework to the high-mass events GW190521, GW190426_190642, and GW200220_061928, we obtain a Bayes factor Bn=1n=0=2 against the Proca-star hypothesis, primarily rooted in the limitation of current Proca-star merger signal models to intrinsically weak head-on cases. We show that conclusive evidence logBn=0n=1≥5 could be achieved after five to nine observations of similar event sets, at the 90% credible level. Our framework provides a new way to detect exotic compact objects, somewhat using gravitational-wave detectors as particle detectors.

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