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    Cosmic trajectories calculation with a state of the art lattice QCD equation of state

    Lorenzo Formaggio1,*, Francesco Di Clemente1, Geetika Yadav1, Alessandro Drago2,3, and Claudia Ratti1

    • *Contact author: lformagg@cougarnet.uh.edu

    Phys. Rev. D 113, 023522 – Published 15 January, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/lnwp-gzss

    Abstract

    We compute the full cosmic trajectories of the early Universe across the QCD phase diagram as the plasma cools from T≃500  MeV to 30 MeV, assuming β-equilibrated matter. The trajectories are obtained by simultaneously solving baryon-number, electric-charge, and lepton-asymmetry conservation, closed by a state-of-the-art lattice-QCD equation of state: a fourth-order Taylor expansion in the chemical potentials that merges the latest (2+1)-flavor susceptibilities with charm-quark contributions, thus delivering a consistent (2+1+1)-flavor equation of state. Results are compared with an ideal quark-gluon plasma and with a hadron-resonance gas to highlight interaction effects. Two cases of primordial lepton asymmetries are analyzed: a symmetric configuration (ℓe=ℓμ=ℓτ=ℓ/3) and an asymmetric one (ℓe=0,ℓμ=−ℓτ). Increasing |ℓ| systematically drives the trajectories toward larger values of μB and more negative μQ. In the asymmetric case, a nonmonotonic “bounce” develops when the τ chemical potential reaches mτ, generating a maximum in μB(T), the position of which depends on ℓτ. Assuming a modest μQ dependence of the lattice-QCD critical end point estimates (obtained at μQ=0), the trajectories for all lepton asymmetries explored (|ℓ|≲0.1) lie to their left, implying that in a standard cosmological scenario the QCD transition is almost certainly a smooth crossover. Nevertheless, we estimate the magnitude of baryon and lepton asymmetries needed to obtain a cosmic trajectory closer to the QCD critical point, providing inputs for future studies of the strong-interaction epoch.

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