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    Pre-big-bang cosmology cannot explain the NANOGrav 15-year signal

    Qin Tan1,2, You Wu3,*, and Lang Liu4,†

    • *Contact author: youwuphy@gmail.com
    • †Contact author: liulang@bnu.edu.cn

    Phys. Rev. D 111, 123525 – Published 16 June, 2025

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/l7kb-r667

    Abstract

    We investigate whether the pre-big-bang (PBB) scenario from string cosmology can explain the stochastic gravitational wave background signal reported in the North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves (NANOGrav) 15-yr dataset. Using Bayesian analysis techniques, we constrain the key parameters of the PBB model by comparing its theoretical predictions with the observed data. Our analysis yields β=−0.12−0.21+0.06 (90% credible interval) for the dilaton-dynamics parameter, which lies outside the theoretically allowed range 0≲β<3 with more than 5σ confidence. Additionally, model comparison strongly favors a simple power-law spectrum over the PBB scenario, with a Bayes factor of approximately 468. These results demonstrate that the PBB scenario, in its current formulation, cannot adequately explain the NANOGrav observations, highlighting the need for either significant modifications to the model or alternative explanations for the observed signal.

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