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Impact of new physics on the JUNO-long-baseline synergy in the neutrino mass ordering determination

Gustavo F. S. Alves1,2,3,*, Hiroshi Nunokawa4,†, and Renata Zukanovich Funchal3,‡

  • *Contact author: gustavo.alves@northwestern.edu
  • †Contact author: nunokawa@puc-rio.br
  • ‡Contact author: zukanov@if.usp.br

Phys. Rev. D 113, 115059 – Published 23 June, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/jttg-dj4g

Abstract

The determination of the neutrino mass ordering is one of the flagship goals in particle physics. A well-known and powerful synergy emerges when combining high-precision measurements of the effective atmospheric mass-squared splitting from electron antineutrino disappearance in reactor experiments with that from muon (anti)neutrino disappearance in accelerator-based long-baseline experiments. To fully exploit this synergy, percent-level precision in the atmospheric mass splitting is required—a target that JUNO is expected to achieve within a few months of data taking. This motivated the formulation of a mass ordering sum rule for neutrino disappearance channels, which shows that by combining data from T2K and NOvA with JUNO after one year of operation, the neutrino mass ordering can be determined at the 3σ confidence level. Since JUNO has recently started taking data, it is timely to ask whether this sum rule remains robust in the presence of new physics. We identify the necessary conditions for new physics to affect the sum rule and demonstrate that, in some cases, such effects could lead to an incorrect inference of the mass ordering. As concrete examples, we consider scalar nonstandard interactions (SNSI) and neutrinos coupled to an ultralight scalar field. We find that, for SNSI, current constraints render any modification of the sum rule negligible, whereas in the latter case, the inference of the ordering requires caution. Nevertheless, these effects can be disentangled, illustrating how the sum rule can also be used to search for new physics.

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