Export citation

Export citation

Choose format for download:

Download Citation

    Probing evolution in the black hole spectrum with gravitational waves catalogs

    Jam Sadiq1,2,*, Thomas Dent3, and Ana Lorenzo-Medina3

    • *Contact author: jamlucky.qau@gmail.com

    Phys. Rev. D 112, 083028 – Published 14 October, 2025

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/j9fq-nkl3

    Abstract

    The population of black holes observed via gravitational waves currently covers the local Universe up to a redshift z≲1, for the most massive merging binaries, or z≲0.25 for low-mass binary black holes (BBH). Evolution of the BBH mass spectrum over cosmic time will be a significant probe of formation channels and environments. We demonstrate a reconstruction of the BBH merger rate, allowing for general dependence on binary masses and luminosity distance or redshift and accounting for selection effects, via iterative kernel density estimation (KDE) with optimized multidimensional bandwidths. Performing such reconstructions under a range of detailed assumptions, we see no significant evidence for the evolution of BBH masses with redshift, over the range where detected events are available. At most, possible trends towards an increasing merger rate with a redshift for primary masses m1≳50M⊙ or towards a decreasing merger rate with a redshift for primary masses m1≲40M⊙ may be supported. We compare these findings with previous investigations and caution against overinterpreting the current, sparse data. Significantly upgraded detectors and/or facilities, and longer observing times are required to harness any correlations of the BBH mass distribution with redshift.

    Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

    Authorization Required

    We need you to provide your credentials before accessing this content.

    References (Subscription Required)

    Outline

    Information

    Sign In to Your Journals Account

    Filter

    Filter

    Article Lookup

    Enter a citation