Geometric obstruction to resolving the Hubble tension: Orthogonality of scale and shape in distance measurements
Phys. Rev. D 114, 063511 – Published 8 September, 2026
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/hv6b-kccr
Abstract
We identify a geometric obstruction to resolving the Hubble tension by combining early-time sound-horizon reduction with late-time smooth dark energy. The baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO)-supernova (SN) matter-density gap, within Lambda cold dark matter (), is exactly invariant under the sound-horizon rescaling , and late-time deformations cannot eliminate it either; reconciling the two datasets requires opposite deformations; phantom () for BAO, quintessence () for SN at ; an antialignment quantified by in space. A full Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis of DESI DR2 BAO, Planck plik_lite, and Pantheon+ bears this out; the optimal ( reduction) brings the joint fit to , still below SH0ES, with the interdataset tension reduced but not removed. The obstruction reflects not a shortage of model freedom but an irreducible disagreement between probes. The deformation space already spans 94% of the response direction; nonetheless BAO and SN constrain through independent channels and disagree, while the residual deficit, anchored by the local distance ladder, resides in the absolute distance scale, which reshapes but cannot rescale.