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Updated bounds on the (1, 2) neutrino oscillation parameters after first JUNO results

Francesco Capozzi1,2, Eligio Lisi3, Francesco Marcone4,3, Antonio Marrone4,3, and Antonio Palazzo4,3

Phys. Rev. D 114, 016026 – Published 27 July, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/cxqw-1bty

Abstract

Within the standard 3ν framework, we discuss updated bounds on the leading oscillation parameters related to the (ν1,ν2) states, namely, the squared mass difference δm2=m22−m12 and the mixing parameter sin2θ12. A previous global analysis of 2024 oscillation data estimated δm2 and sin2θ12 with fractional 1σ errors of about 2.3% and 4.5%, respectively. First we update the analysis by applying the latest SNO+ (Sudbury Neutrino Observatory Plus) constraints that slightly shift the (δm2,sin2θ12) best fits. Then we apply the constraints placed by the first Jiangmen Underground Neutrino Observatory results that significantly reduce the uncertainties of both parameters. Our updated global bounds (as of 2025) can be summarized in terms of a bivariate Gaussian as: δm2/10−5  eV2=7.48±0.10 and sin2θ12=0.3085±0.0073 (with error correlation ρ=−0.20), corresponding to 1σ uncertainties as small as 1.3% and 2.4%, respectively. We also comment on minor physical and statistical effects that, in the future, may contribute to lift the current mass-ordering degeneracy of (δm2,θ12) estimates.

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