Impact of the SNe Ia magnitude transition at 20 Mpc on cosmological parameter estimation
Phys. Rev. D 113, 123512 – Published 5 June, 2026
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/ct51-7wz5
Abstract
We investigate the impact of a late-time transition in the standardized absolute magnitude on the best-fit values of cosmological parameters using the . Extending previous analyses which focused on flat , we examine this transition within flat (Lambda Cold Dark Matter), wCDM (cold dark matter with a constant dark energy equation of state w), and CPL (Chevallier-Polarski-Linder) cosmologies as well as a model-independent cosmographic expansion, employing both frequentist ( minimization with Akaike Information Criterion/Bayesian Information Criterion) and Bayesian (Markov-chain Monte Carlo and nested sampling) inference frameworks. We confirm that the data consistently favor a step in absolute magnitude of at a characteristic distance of . The inclusion of this transition leads to a statistically significant improvement in the quality of fit and has a distinct impact on parameter estimation: it induces a systematic increase in the inferred Hubble constant of approximately 2% across all tested models. In contrast, we find that the dynamical parameters governing the background expansion, including the matter density and the dark energy equation of state (), remain stable and largely unaffected. These results indicate that the 20 Mpc feature acts primarily as a low-redshift calibration shift rather than a modification of the late-time expansion history.