Open Access

Data-driven analyses and model-independent fits for present $b \to s ℓ ℓ$ results

Tobias Hurth^*

Farvah Mahmoudi^†

Yann Monceaux^‡ and Siavash Neshatpour ^§

PRISMA + Cluster of Excellence and Institute for Physics (THEP), Johannes Gutenberg University, D-55099 Mainz, Germany

Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, CNRS/IN2P3, Institut de Physique des 2 Infinis de Lyon, UMR 5822, F-69622, Villeurbanne, France; Theoretical Physics Department, CERN, CH-1211 Geneva 23, Switzerland, and Institut Universitaire de France (IUF), 75005 Paris, France

Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, CNRS/IN2P3, Institut de Physique des 2 Infinis de Lyon, UMR 5822, F-69622, Villeurbanne, France

^*Contact author: tobias.hurth@cern.ch
^†Contact author: nazila@cern.ch
^‡Contact author: y.monceaux@ip2i.in2p3.fr
^§Contact author: s.neshatpour@ip2i.in2p3.fr

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Phys. Rev. D 112, 113003 – Published 15 December, 2025

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/bc5h-8jm3

Abstract

We present a critical assessment of the present $B$ anomalies in the exclusive $b \to s ℓ ℓ$ mode based on the QCD factorization (QCDf) approach. In particular, we analyze the impact of different local form factor calculations and of the largest bin in the low- $q^{2}$ region. We also present a model-independent analysis of the new results of the LHCb and CMS experiments on the $B \to K^{*} μ^{+} μ^{-}$ angular observables. In addition, we update the global fit by including all $b \to s$ observables incorporating the new data from CMS and the LHCb. In these analyses, we use 10% or higher guesstimates of the nonfactorizable power corrections as additional uncertainties, serving as a placeholder for robust estimates of these contributions. Updating earlier results, we also analyze the combined LHCb and CMS data on the $B \to K^{*} μ^{+} μ^{-}$ angular observables using data-driven approaches to find indications of whether these tensions between the QCDf predictions and the present data are due to underestimated subleading hadronic contributions or due to new physics effects.

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References (101)

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Phys. Rev. D 112, 113003– Published 15 December, 2025

Vol. 112, Iss. 11 — 1 December 2025

Received 9 September 2025
Accepted 24 November 2025

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/bc5h-8jm3

Published by the American Physical Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the published article’s title, journal citation, and DOI. Funded by SCOAP³.

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Data-driven analyses and model-independent fits for present $b \to s ℓ ℓ$ results

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Data-driven analyses and model-independent fits for present b→sℓℓ results

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Data-driven analyses and model-independent fits for present $b \to s ℓ ℓ$ results