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    Dissecting the Hubble tension: Insights from a diverse set of sound-horizon-free H0 measurements

    Ioannis Pantos* and Leandros Perivolaropoulos†

    • *Contact author: i.pantos@uoi.gr
    • †Contact author: leandros@uoi.gr

    Phys. Rev. D 114, 063507 – Published 3 September, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/9pbn-13q8

    Abstract

    The Hubble tension is commonly framed as a discrepancy between local, late-time measurements favoring H0≈73  km s−1 Mpc−1 and early-time, sound-horizon-based measurements favoring H0≈67  km s−1  Mpc−1. We challenge this viewpoint by analyzing 88 sound-horizon-free H0 measurements, categorized into four classes: distance ladder measurements using local calibrators; local Λ cold dark matter (ΛCDM) measurements assuming the standard expansion history; pure local measurements independent of H(z) shape; and cosmic microwave background (CMB) sound-horizon-free measurements using CMB data without the sound horizon scale. Our analysis reveals that the 30 distance ladder measurements yield H0=72.73±0.39  km s−1  Mpc−1 (χν2=0.72), while the 58 distance ladder-independent/sound horizon free measurements collectively yield H0=69.37±0.34  km s−1  Mpc−1 (χν2=0.95). After accounting for realistic correlations between measurements, the tension between the two ensembles is 3.9−4.3σ depending on the assumed correlation strength; we adopt the conservative value of 3.9σ as our reference estimate. Under the idealized assumption of fully independent measurements it would reach 6.5σ. Among categories, Local ΛCDM measurements favor the lowest value (H0=67.61±0.96  km s−1  Mpc−1), pure local yields an intermediate value (H0=71.03±0.69  km s−1  Mpc−1), and CMB sound horizon free measurements give H0=69.07±0.44  km s−1  Mpc−1. Within the sound-horizon-free sample considered here, the distance ladder thus sits systematically high compared with all other methodologies, a result that is stable under all tested variations of the measurement categorization. This suggests that the Hubble tension may be more accurately characterized as a discrepancy between the distance ladder and all other methodologies, rather than as a purely early- vs late-time split. We also identify an internal tension among distance ladder-independent/sound horizon free measurements, which is however sensitive to categorization choices, ranging from 1.5σ to 3.1σ (2.9σ in our baseline analysis): analyses assuming ΛCDM systematically recover lower H0 values by ∼3.4  km s−1 Mpc−1 compared to cosmological-model-independent methods. This suggests either unrecognized systematics in the distance ladder or deviations from ΛCDM or both.

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