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    Earth-density effects in long baseline neutrino experiments

    Tia Pandit* and Bipin Singh Koranga†

    • *Contact author: tiapandit777@outlook.com
    • †Contact author: bskoranga@kmc.du.ac.in

    Phys. Rev. D 113, 123046 – Published 17 June, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/8r1c-knd2

    Abstract

    The accurate modeling of Earth matter effects is a critical systematic consideration for precision measurements of the CP-violating phase δCP in long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiments. We investigate the extent to which constant and path-averaged density approximations are sufficient for reproducing the νμ→νe appearance probabilities predicted by the preliminary reference Earth model (PREM) across baselines ranging from L=1000  km to L=12000  km. Using a full three-flavor matrix exponentiation framework with spatially resolved PREM density profiles, we demonstrate that the constant density approximation introduces a negligible bias of less than 0.3° in the reconstructed δCP for baselines up to L≈5000  km, but undergoes a sharp increase beyond this threshold, reaching 17.8° at L=7000  km and 172.2° at L=12000  km. We show that this bias arises from energy-dependent distortions in the oscillation probability produced by the Earth’s internal density layering, which generate degeneracies between matter-induced and intrinsic CP-violating contributions to the appearance channel that cannot be removed by marginalizing over a single effective density. These results demonstrate that the constant density approximation is not a conservative simplification but a source of fundamental systematic error at long baselines, and motivate the incorporation of spatially resolved Earth density treatments, such as PREM, in the analysis frameworks of next-generation long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiments.

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