Earth-density effects in long baseline neutrino experiments
Phys. Rev. D 113, 123046 – Published 17 June, 2026
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/8r1c-knd2
Abstract
The accurate modeling of Earth matter effects is a critical systematic consideration for precision measurements of the -violating phase in long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiments. We investigate the extent to which constant and path-averaged density approximations are sufficient for reproducing the appearance probabilities predicted by the preliminary reference Earth model (PREM) across baselines ranging from to . Using a full three-flavor matrix exponentiation framework with spatially resolved PREM density profiles, we demonstrate that the constant density approximation introduces a negligible bias of less than 0.3° in the reconstructed for baselines up to , but undergoes a sharp increase beyond this threshold, reaching 17.8° at and 172.2° at . We show that this bias arises from energy-dependent distortions in the oscillation probability produced by the Earth’s internal density layering, which generate degeneracies between matter-induced and intrinsic -violating contributions to the appearance channel that cannot be removed by marginalizing over a single effective density. These results demonstrate that the constant density approximation is not a conservative simplification but a source of fundamental systematic error at long baselines, and motivate the incorporation of spatially resolved Earth density treatments, such as PREM, in the analysis frameworks of next-generation long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiments.