$E_G$ is a summary statistic that combines cosmological observables to achieve a test of gravity that is relatively model independent. Here, we consider the power of a measurement of $E_G$ using galaxy-galaxy lensing and galaxy clustering with sources from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), and lenses from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We first update the theoretical framework for the covariance of $E_G$ to accommodate this Stage IV scenario. We then demonstrate that $E_G$ offers in principle a model-agnostic test of gravity using only linear-scale information, with the caveat that a careful treatment of galaxy bias is required. We finally address the persistent issue of $E_G$’s theoretical dependence on the measured value of ${\mathrm{\Omega }}_{\mathrm{M}}^0$. We propose a framework that takes advantage of the posterior predictive test to consistently incorporate uncertainty on ${\mathrm{\Omega }}_{\mathrm{M}}^0$ in tests of gravity with $E_G$, which should be of general use beyond the LSST + DESI scenario. Our forecasting study using this method shows that the prior information available for ${\mathrm{\Omega }}_{\mathrm{M}}^0$ is instrumental in determining the power of $E_G$ in the LSST + DESI context. For the full survey dataset, with priors on ${\mathrm{\Omega }}_{\mathrm{M}}^0$ from existing cosmic microwave background data, we find that for some modified gravity scenarios considered, we are likely to be able to reject the general relativity null hypothesis.

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• Alternative gravity theories
• Cosmological parameters
• Large scale structure of the Universe