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    Exploring the impact of systematic bias in type Ia supernova cosmology across diverse dark energy parametrizations

    Drishti Sharma1,*, Purba Mukherjee2,†, Anjan A Sen2,‡, and Suhail Dhawan3,§

    • *Contact author: drishti2306519@st.jmi.ac.in
    • †Contact author: pdf.pmukherjee@jmi.ac.in
    • ‡Contact author: aasen@jmi.ac.in
    • §Contact author: s.dhawan@bham.ac.uk

    Phys. Rev. D 114, 063544 – Published 28 September, 2026

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/3dt9-qqnd

    Abstract

    We investigate the impact of instrumental and astrophysical systematics on dark energy (DE) constraints from type Ia supernova (SN-Ia) observations. Using simulated datasets consistent with current SN-Ia measurements, we examine how photometric calibration, intergalactic dust, progenitor evolution in luminosity and light-curve stretch, intrinsic color scatter, and matter density mismatch affect the inferred DE equation of state parameters (w0,wa). We test the generalized scale factor (GEN) parametrization against three time-evolving DE models: Chevallier-Polarski-Linder (CPL), Jassal-Bagla-Padmanabhan (JBP), and logarithmic (LOG). Calibration and progenitor-related effects emerge as the dominant sources of bias. In particular, a calibration offset of ΔMB=0.02 can shift the inferred parameters by up to Δw0≃−0.12 and Δwa≃+0.60 in JBP, while the corresponding shift in GEN is much smaller, with Δw0≃−0.02 and Δwa≃−0.04. Progenitor-stretch evolution also induces substantial shifts, whereas intergalactic dust and color-scatter systematics produce only minor deviations for the fiducial amplitudes adopted here. Overall, JBP is the most sensitive to injected systematics, CPL and LOG show intermediate sensitivity, and GEN remains the most stable. We also quantify the deviation from the fiducial ΛCDM (w0=−1,wa=0) for the injected-systematic cases and find that the second set of systematic injections supports the same qualitative hierarchy. These results highlight the need for subpercent calibration precision and improved astrophysical modeling for robust DE inference from present and future SN-Ia cosmology experiments. More broadly, our results motivate model-independent tests of late-time physics, with phenomenological (w0,wa) parametrizations used as summary statistics.

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