Self-interacting dark-matter spikes and the final-parsec problem: Bayesian constraints from the NANOGrav 15-year gravitational-wave background
Phys. Rev. D 113, 043501 – Published 4 February, 2026
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/2hqm-qv99
Abstract
A self-interacting dark-matter (SIDM) density spike around merging supermassive black holes may be able to supply the dynamical friction needed to shrink binaries from to , thereby resolving the long-standing “final-parsec problem.” Embedding the binary-halo system in a cosmological population model, we evolve the inspiral under the combined influence of gravitational-wave emission and SIDM drag, compute the resulting nanohertz gravitational-wave background, and confront it with the NANOGrav 15-year pulsar-timing data. A six-parameter Bayesian analysis, performed with a Gaussian-process-accelerated Markov chain Monte Carlo, yields posterior constraints on the cross section per unit mass and maximum circular velocity values that were consistent with independent galaxy-rotation and cluster-lensing limits. Within this parameter space, the SIDM spike remains intact, supplies sufficient friction to overcome the stellar depletion barrier, and produces a characteristic-strain spectrum that matches the NANOGrav signal as well as phenomenological astrophysical models.