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Saddle avoidance of noise-induced transitions in multiscale systems

Reyk Börner1,*,†, Ryan Deeley2,*,‡, Raphael Römer3, Tobias Grafke4, Valerio Lucarini5, and Ulrike Feudel2

  • *These authors contributed equally to this work.
  • †Contact author: reyk.boerner@reading.ac.uk
  • ‡Contact author: ryan.deeley@uni-oldenburg.de

Bifurcation potential fields for resilience analysis in dynamical systems

Kevin L.S. Drury

Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 494 135258 (2026)

Self-Replication of Turbulent Puffs: On the Edge between Chaotic Saddles

Anton Svirsky, Tobias Grafke, and Anna Frishman

Phys. Rev. Lett. 136 124001 (2026)

Transitions of the Atlantic Ocean circulation

Henk A. Dijkstra, Bernd Krauskopf, Reyk Börner, and René M. van Westen

Nat Rev Phys 8 410 (2026)

Nonlinear public goods game in dynamical environments

Yishen Jiang, Xin Wang, Wenqiang Zhu, Ming Wei, Longzhao Liu, Shaoting Tang, and Hongwei Zheng

Applied Mathematical Modelling 157 116857 (2026)

The role of edge states for early warning of tipping points

Johannes Lohmann, Alfred B. Hansen, Alessandro Lovo, Ruth Chapman, Freddy Bouchet, and Valerio Lucarini

Proc. R. Soc. A. 481 20240753 (2025)

Most likely noise-induced tipping of the overturning circulation in a two-dimensional Boussinesq fluid model

Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, and Henk A. Dijkstra

J. Fluid Mech. 1009 A53 (2025)

Quantifying tipping behavior: Geometric early warnings and quasipotentials for a box model of AMOC

Ruth R. Chapman, Peter Ashwin, and Richard A. Wood

Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 35 023164 (2025)

Tipping mechanisms in a carbon cycle model

Katherine Slyman, Emmanuel Fleurantin, and Christopher K. R. T. Jones

Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 35 053104 (2025)

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