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Dragon kings in self-organized criticality systems

Guram Mikaberidze

Arthur Plaud

Raissa M. D'Souza

  • Department of Mathematics, University of California, Davis, California 95616, USA

  • Département de Physique de l'Ecole Normale Supérieure, 24 rue Lhomond, 75231 Paris Cedex 05, France

  • University of California, Davis, California 95616, USA and Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87501, USA

Phys. Rev. Research 5, L042013 – Published 19 October, 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.5.L042013

Abstract

The spontaneous emergence of scale invariance, called self-organized criticality (SOC), is often attributed to a second-order absorbing-state phase transition (ASPT). Many real-world systems display SOC, yet with extreme events overrepresented, called dragon kings (DKs) and causing significant disruption. We show analytically that the trade-off between driving impulse and dissipation rate can create DKs in a second-order ASPT. This establishes that DKs exist in SOC systems, reveals a taxonomy of DKs, and shows that larger dissipation and smoother driving lower risk of extreme events.

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