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Single-waveform time-series modeling via kernel-based dynamic mode decomposition for real-time dynamics reconstruction

Faya Wang*

  • *Contact author: fywang@slac.stanford.edu

Phys. Rev. Accel. Beams 29, L072001 – Published 31 July, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/vbnq-lj9j

Abstract

Real-time monitoring and predictive modeling of complex accelerator subsystems demand data-efficient approaches that can capture essential dynamics from minimal measurements. This study introduces a framework based on kernel-based dynamic mode decomposition that constructs surrogate dynamical models from a single reference waveform, enabling accurate time-series reconstruction with substantially reduced data requirements compared to conventional methods. The approach formulates the system dynamics as a continuous ordinary differential equation (ODE) in a delay-embedded phase space, where a sparse dictionary and polynomial kernel provide both computational efficiency and physics-aligned interpretability through the underlying ODE structure. The method is validated on three beam kicker systems and two pulse-forming network (PFN) modulator systems at the Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource (SSRL) at SLAC, demonstrating accurate waveform reconstruction using only one training waveform per system. A comparative study against exponential smoothing and linear trend models confirms the method’s superior predictive capability, particularly in extrapolative tail regions. These results establish a lightweight, scalable foundation for real-time waveform monitoring, anomaly detection, and potential integration into broader facility-level digital twin frameworks in accelerator science and beyond.

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