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Strict Universality of the Square-Root Law in Price Impact across Stocks: A Complete Survey of the Tokyo Stock Exchange
Phys. Rev. Lett. 135, 257401 – Published 15 December, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/65jz-81kv
Abstract
Universal power laws have been scrutinized in physics and beyond, and a long-standing debate exists in econophysics regarding the strict universality of the nonlinear price impact, commonly referred to as the square-root law (SRL). The SRL posits that the average price impact follows a power law with respect to transaction volume , such that with . Some researchers argue that the exponent should be system specific, without universality. Conversely, others contend that should be exactly for all stocks across all countries, implying universality. However, resolving this debate requires high-precision measurements of with errors of around 0.1 across hundreds of stocks, which has been extremely challenging due to the scarcity of large microscopic datasets—those that enable tracking the trading behavior of all individual accounts. Here we conclusively support the universality hypothesis of the SRL by a complete survey of all trading accounts for all liquid stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange over eight years. Using this comprehensive microscopic dataset, we show that the exponent is equal to within statistical errors at both the individual stock level and the individual trader level. Additionally, we rejected two prominent models supporting the nonuniversality hypothesis: the Gabaix-Gopikrishnan-Plerou-Stanley and the Farmer-Gerig-Lillo-Waelbroeck models [Gabaix et al., Nature (London) 423, 267 (2003).; Q. J. Econ 121, 461 (2006).; Farmer et al., Quant. Finance 13, 1743 (2013)]. Our Letter provides exceptionally high-precision evidence for the universality hypothesis in social science and could prove useful in evaluating the price impact by large investors—an important topic even among practitioners.
Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)
Viewpoint
The Universal Law Behind Market Price Swings
Analysis of a large dataset from the Tokyo Stock Exchange validates a universal power law relating the price of a traded stock to the traded volume.
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